Monday, 30 May 2011

Bet on Liverpool to win the premier League next year

When we bet we look for value.

Machester United are best price 15/8, but the team still needs a refresh and does he have the money to do it? Berbatov looks like he has gone. Owen and Hargreaves are out. Maybe Rooney will go and he will have 75m to spend and can get 3 or 4 fantastic players. But, anyway 15/8 looks clim to me.

Manchester City? Still too green for me. And Tevez is a problem.

Chelsea. Yes, but 11/4? Probably an ok bet. But is Torres still going to make it? If not they will waste alot of games trying to give hima chance.

I think Liverpool will have some money, but the two strikers look great and Gerrard should come back stornger next year. So at 12/1, I would put some big money on now.

An Amazing Cricket Day

What happened? Just when everyone except the England team, and presumably including the whole Sri Lanka team had decided the game had fizzled out to an boring draw, England go on a wicket fest and win the match.

How could it have happened? 900 runs already and the pitch looked tame enough to guarantee that this type of collapse could not happen.

So, what happened? Well, with only a few overs to bowl, the bowlers could really go for it, so that helped. And I have no doubt that the Sri Lankans were already mentally on the team bus and down the M4 to a swanky London hotel. And when it started, it was impossible to get the right mental attitude back.

It would be fascinating to hear from an insider about what went on inside the dressing room. Who was the catalyst? What exactly was said?

It was one of the most amazing days of cricket I've seen.

About the author: Connected is a massive sports fan, and is trying to turn the company he works for selling Rectangular Trampolines , amongst other toys and games in to a proper sports company, encouraging a move in to Sports Bras amongst other things.

Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Premier League Relegation battle

Who will go down?

The League position is:

15 Blackburn 37 7 7 5 22 16 3 3 12 21 41 -14 40
16 Wolverhampton 37 8 4 6 28 27 3 3 13 16 36 -19 40
17 Birmingham 37 6 8 5 19 22 2 7 9 17 34 -20 39

18 Blackpool 37 5 5 9 30 37 5 4 9 23 37 -21 39
19 Wigan 37 5 8 6 22 34 3 7 8 17 27 -22 39
20 West Ham 37 5 5 8 24 28 2 7 10 19 39 -24 33

So, in theory Blackpool need a point and hope Birmingham lose, and wigan dont win. But in actual fact, if they lose by one less than Binrmingham then Birnmingham go down.

It is so complicated. Its not just the points. But teams go move position based on goal difference by being beaten heavily with none of the teams winning.

The games are:

Man Utd v Blackpool, 16:00
Stoke v Wigan, 16:00
So in the best positon are wolves and blackburn. Where at least two point must be won. A draw leaves them both on 41 points, but if two of the other win that wont be enough. a win for either guarantees safety.
For the other 3, it will be a nervy day, but brilliant entertainment for the rest of us.
So what do we predict? Last day games where there is something at stake are ALWAYS unreliable. Form is no predictor. So expect the unexpected, and that gives good value on the odds.
I expect Wolves and Balackburn to draw.

I expect Blackpool to lose. I expect Birmingham to draw. And I expect Wigan to win, saving themselves at the last minute.

that collection results leaves West Ham bottom, Blackpool down on  39 points. And the remaining place to be Wolves down on 41 points.

I do expect the relegated team to be on more than the suppsed safety line of 40 points this year.

You can get 8/1 on Wolves to be relegated, so I think thats a great bet. Pile on. And I would also put some on wigan to stay up at 11/10.
What do you think?
About the author: He is a Businessman, not a professional gambler. this is fun, not advice. Please, join in and debate the subject and give your views, but remember the author works for a living selling Playhouses. If he was so good at gambling, then would he really be selling Playhouses and Rugby Balls?

Monday, 25 April 2011

Olympic Tickets Deadline

Its deadline day. Have you bought your tickets? Got your Visa card ready and placed your order?

What did you go for? Did you try and get the Usain Bolt 100m final? If so, how many people did the same thing? We reckon it will be millions, so the chance of getting that ticket is tiny.

But, if you tried to get tickets for early rounds of the Handball or Water Polo, we are pretty sure you will be lucky.

In fact most ball sports will have a good chance since the stadiums are large and there are plenty of rounds, so in the end there are plenty of tickets to be sold for those sports.

We cant wait to find out what the demand is for real, but today, sources at the Olympic organisers say that they have received millions of applications. Those insiders reckon that of course the high profile finals are over subscribed by millions.

So far not ant surprise, but what is interesting is that they also say that the cycling, and the diving are oversubscribed. Cycling is popular now since the last Olympics and the stadium only takes 3000, but Diving? That must be the Tom Daley effect.

We are sure that they will reach the 80% of tickets sold. What will be left are ball sports, and especially the football. Once the teams are known for those early rounds too, expect the rest to sell out too. We expect that there will be very few empty seats at any venues come 2012.

About the author: Connected is a sports fan, and a retailer of 12ft trampolines and wooden playhouses, and on Saturday applied for £3200 worth of tickets. He needs to keep the credit card empty come mid May.

Friday, 15 April 2011

Olympic Ticket Deadline

Applications for Olympic Tickets close at 23.59 on 26th April 2011. So, get planning and get in your bids on time. We advise you not to leave it until the last minute since its likely that the site will crash in the last few hours as a massive rush takes place.

And remember that you will potentially need ALL the money for all the tickets you apply for to be in your account in mid may, that's a full 5 weeks before you find out which tickets you have got. Be warned.

And whilst on the subject of the Olympics, we are already thinking about what to do when they are on. Do we shut the office and stop selling our 10ft Trampolines? Do we assume that no-one will be buying Giant Jenga games anyway? Or will they be buying more Giant Jengas as they plan Barbecue parties?

We have a projector now, so we can project the TV on to the wall, big screen style.

What is your office plan for the big event?

Champions League Betting

We said that we thought Barcelona would win the Champions League, and still do, but the odds are poor, so look for value elsewhere.

So, before the quarter finals, we advised: Bet on Manchester Utd at 8/1. Looks good now, we hope you took plenty. Current odds are 5/2.

We also advised a punt on a Spanish team to win at 1/2. Given that the final will certainly have one, and they will be favourites, looks a good bet too.

By the way, Barcelona were 6/5 before the quarter finals, and you can still get that now. So, the lesson is, if the odds are too poor, walk away.

For the final now, we hope you are on Manchester Utd at 8/1. We are and that makes balancing or covering bets good value. So, we now fancy Real Madrid at 7/2. Get on that at 7/2 and Manchester at 8/1 and you could be  a guaranteed winner. If you are not on Manchester , then Real look the value bet to us anyway.

But, one word of warning, we are not professional betting advisers, In fact our little consortium of experts spend our days advising on sales of Above Ground Pools and Trampolines, so be warned and don't bet more than you can afford to lose.

Thursday, 7 April 2011

Bet on Champions League

On Tuesday we said:

1. Barcelona will most likley win the Champions League, but at 6/5 its poor odds
2. Look for value in the other half of the draw. That was Manchester Utd at 8/1
3. Real and Barcelona both look good, and 1/2 a Spanish team is good
4. Take 10/11 for only one team to score at Real Madrid


and the results?

1. Barcelona Look good still, but will have to beat Real. Still fancy them to win but at Even Money now, still poor odds.
2. Manchester Utd look the bet, now at 4/1. Hope you got on Tuesday at 8/1. We did
3. Still like the SPanish bet, but now 2/5
4. 4-0. That was a winner.

So, we fancy a Barcelona vs Manchester United final at Wembly, with us having £100 at 8/1 running.

But, remember that we still have full time jobs. We sell TP Trampolines and other outdoor toys like wooden sandpits to make a living. We are not advisors or full time gamblers. Be warned.