Wednesday 18 May 2011

Premier League Relegation battle

Who will go down?

The League position is:

15 Blackburn 37 7 7 5 22 16 3 3 12 21 41 -14 40
16 Wolverhampton 37 8 4 6 28 27 3 3 13 16 36 -19 40
17 Birmingham 37 6 8 5 19 22 2 7 9 17 34 -20 39

18 Blackpool 37 5 5 9 30 37 5 4 9 23 37 -21 39
19 Wigan 37 5 8 6 22 34 3 7 8 17 27 -22 39
20 West Ham 37 5 5 8 24 28 2 7 10 19 39 -24 33

So, in theory Blackpool need a point and hope Birmingham lose, and wigan dont win. But in actual fact, if they lose by one less than Binrmingham then Birnmingham go down.

It is so complicated. Its not just the points. But teams go move position based on goal difference by being beaten heavily with none of the teams winning.

The games are:


Man Utd v Blackpool, 16:00
Stoke v Wigan, 16:00
So in the best positon are wolves and blackburn. Where at least two point must be won. A draw leaves them both on 41 points, but if two of the other win that wont be enough. a win for either guarantees safety.
For the other 3, it will be a nervy day, but brilliant entertainment for the rest of us.
So what do we predict? Last day games where there is something at stake are ALWAYS unreliable. Form is no predictor. So expect the unexpected, and that gives good value on the odds.
I expect Wolves and Balackburn to draw.

I expect Blackpool to lose. I expect Birmingham to draw. And I expect Wigan to win, saving themselves at the last minute.

that collection results leaves West Ham bottom, Blackpool down on  39 points. And the remaining place to be Wolves down on 41 points.

I do expect the relegated team to be on more than the suppsed safety line of 40 points this year.

You can get 8/1 on Wolves to be relegated, so I think thats a great bet. Pile on. And I would also put some on wigan to stay up at 11/10.
What do you think?
About the author: He is a Businessman, not a professional gambler. this is fun, not advice. Please, join in and debate the subject and give your views, but remember the author works for a living selling Playhouses. If he was so good at gambling, then would he really be selling Playhouses and Rugby Balls?

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